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Research21 Jan 2026

PhonePe’s IPO moment: the UPI giant is ready to meet Dalal Street

PhonePe’s IPO moment: the UPI giant is ready to meet Dalal Street

On most days, PhonePe is not a “fintech story”. It’s just the invisible checkout line of India.

You scan a QR at a kirana store, pay your electricity bill, recharge your phone, or buy insurance—without thinking about which rails carried your money. And that’s precisely what makes the company interesting: when payments become a habit, distribution becomes an asset.

Now, that asset is heading toward the public markets. Reports say PhonePe has received SEBI approval for its IPO after a confidential filing, and the listing could happen around mid-2026.

Let’s break down what PhonePe does, how it got here, what its financials are telling us, and whether Paytm is a true comparable—using a simple valuation lens like Market-cap/Sales.


A) What exactly does PhonePe do?

At the core, PhonePe is a payments and commerce distribution platform built on UPI.

• Consumer payments: UPI payments via bank accounts (the “scan & pay” habit). • Merchant payments: QR acceptance for offline merchants and payment flows for online merchants.

• Bill payments & recharges: Utility payments, FASTag, DTH, mobile, etc.

• Financial services distribution: Insurance, mutual funds and other products (via its platform ecosystem).

• Newer bets: Stockbroking/investing (Share.Market) and hyperlocal commerce (Pincode/ONDC).

The big advantage is distribution: PhonePe sits at the intersection of hundreds of millions of users and tens of millions of merchants, which makes cross-selling financially valuable even if core UPI payments themselves are low-margin.

Reuters also notes PhonePe’s dominance in UPI by volume (over ~45% as of Dec 2025, per its reporting).

B) When did Flipkart buy PhonePe?

PhonePe was acquired by Flipkart in 2016, originally as Flipkart’s push into payments.

Later, after Walmart acquired Flipkart, PhonePe also came under the Walmart umbrella. And in 2022, Flipkart completed the separation of PhonePe as a fully independent entity.

This matters because once you’re preparing for a large IPO, clean corporate structure and clearer reporting lines are not “nice to have”—they’re essential.

C) The $12 billion funding round: what was it, and why does it matter?

PhonePe’s key valuation marker in private markets came in early 2023, when it raised capital at a $12 billion valuation.

Why investors care:

• It gives the market an anchor for “where the last smart money priced it”.

• It frames IPO expectations—public markets will benchmark the IPO pricing against this reference point and the company’s growth/profit path since then.

D) The financials: fast revenue growth, shrinking losses

Based on the financial snapshot you shared (FY22–FY25), the story is quite clean:

1) Revenue is scaling quickly

• FY22: ₹1,646 Cr

• FY23: ₹2,914 Cr

• FY24: ₹5,064 Cr

•FY25: ₹7,115 Cr

That’s ~40% YoY growth in FY25, and a strong multi-year ramp.

2) Losses are narrowing (operating leverage kicking in)

• EBITDA improved from -₹1,849 Cr (FY22) to -₹881 Cr (FY25)

• EBITDA margin improved sharply (losses shrinking relative to revenue).

Net losses also narrowed versus FY24 in your table (FY25 loss of ~₹1,727 Cr vs FY24 loss of ~₹1,996 Cr). Reuters similarly reported narrowing losses for the year ended March 2025.

3) What’s driving the improvement?

Typically for a payments-led platform, the “why” looks like this:

• Fixed costs (tech, compliance, staff) grow slower than transaction-led revenue once scale kicks in.

• Monetization improves through merchant solutions + financial services distribution.

• Other income can help, but the core trend you want is: losses narrowing because the base business is improving, not because of one-off gains.

In short: PhonePe is trying to walk into the IPO window with a narrative public markets like—scale + improving unit economics.

E) Why IPO now?

A few practical reasons line up:

  1. UPI dominance is at its peak (hard to ignore a platform that touches daily consumer payments at scale).

  2. Loss trajectory is improving, which makes valuation conversations easier.

  3. Liquidity for early investors: reports suggest some shareholders may sell via OFS in the IPO.

  4. India’s IPO market is deepening for tech-led consumer platforms, and regulators/public investors are more familiar with the business model than they were 5 years ago.

F) Is Paytm a peer to PhonePe?

Yes, but with important differences.

Where they overlap

Both are consumer-facing fintech brands with:

• Payments (QR, online checkout)

• Merchant network

• Financial product distribution potential

Where they differ

• PhonePe is primarily UPI-first (habit + volume).

• Paytm is a broader fintech bundle, with historical wallet strength, merchant devices/services, and a different mix of revenue streams.

So, Paytm is a reasonable public-market “reference”, but not a perfect mirror.

G) Valuation comparison: Market-cap/Sales

Let’s do the basic multiple comparison that most investors intuitively understand.

1) PhonePe (IPO expectation)

• Valuation expected in IPO: $15B

• FY25 revenue: ~₹7,115 Cr

If we translate $15B roughly to rupees (approx.), PhonePe’s implied Price-to-Sales lands around 18x.

2) Paytm (public market)

• Market cap: ~₹82,960 Cr (recent snapshot)

• Revenue: ₹7,718 Cr

That implies Paytm’s Market-cap/Sales ~10–11x on that reference set.

3) What does this tell us?

• PhonePe’s last private valuation implies a richer Sales multiple than Paytm’s current public multiple, even though both are large consumer fintechs.

• Public markets are effectively saying: “We’ll pay up only if the path to profitability is credible and near-term.”

So if PhonePe comes at a premium valuation, investors will likely ask:

• How quickly can it turn EBITDA positive?

• How defensible is distribution vs Google Pay and others?

• How meaningful are non-UPI revenue streams (financial services, broking, commerce)?

H) The UnlistedZone’s takeaway

PhonePe’s IPO pitch is not “we do payments”.

It’s:

“We own a daily habit at national scale, and we’re converting that habit into a high-margin distribution business—while losses are shrinking.”

SEBI approval simply moves the story from “maybe” to “it’s happening”.

And Paytm, while not identical, is the market’s reality-check: a listed fintech can trade at reasonable Sales multiples only when investors trust the profitability arc.

PhonePe’s job now is to convince public markets that its dominance in UPI is not just volume—it’s monetizable volume.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice, nor an offer to buy or sell any security. Unlisted share prices are indicative. Please do your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing.
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