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RESEARCH NOTE  /  EVERGREEN RECYCLEKARO (INDIA) LIMITED  /  UNLISTED SEPTEMBER 2026
EVERGREEN RECYCLEKARO (INDIA) LIMITED

Mining metal out of dead batteries

India imports almost all the lithium, cobalt and nickel that goes into its batteries. Recyclekaro pulls those same metals back out of the ones that have died — and says it is the only company in the country doing it for lithium.

00

Start here

Three parts. First the business, in plain terms. Then the financials, which have to be reconstructed because the year isn't complete. Then the valuation — where the number comes from and what it depends on.

2010Incorporated
24,000 MTAnnual recycling capacity
₹482 CrFY26 revenue (reconstructed)
₹49.3 CrFY26 profit (reconstructed)
14,881Shares in issue

Ten months of FY26 are provisional and unaudited; the final two months are management projections. See section 05.

PART ONE · THE BUSINESS
01

Mining without a mine

The idea is simple enough to explain in one sentence: instead of digging metal out of the ground, take it out of things people have thrown away.

THE PROCESS IN Dead batteries Old electronics THE HARD PART Discharge safely → shred → separate "black mass" → dissolve and extract OUT Pure metal, 99%+ The extraction step is called hydrometallurgy — the shredded material is dissolved in chemical solution and the metals are pulled out one by one. No smelting furnace, less pollution. The customer is on both sides. Someone pays to hand over the waste. Someone else pays for the metal that comes out of it.
Process as described by the company. Recovery efficiency stated at over 90%, purity at over 99%.

Why this matters in India specifically: the country has very little lithium, cobalt or nickel in the ground. Nearly all of it is imported. Every tonne recovered from a scrapped battery is a tonne that doesn't have to be shipped in.

That is also why the government has taken an interest, which we come back to in section 04.

02

What comes out

Two waste streams, two different sets of metals.

FROM LITHIUM-ION BATTERIES Battery metals Lithium · Cobalt · Nickel Manganese · Copper Aluminium · Graphite GOES BACK INTO NEW BATTERIES FROM ELECTRONIC WASTE Precious metals Gold · Silver Platinum · Palladium Copper and base metals SOLD INTO THE METALS MARKET
Metals recovered per the company's own disclosures. Recyclekaro describes itself as India's largest producer of recycled cobalt.
THE ONE CLAIM WORTH UNDERSTANDING

Most recyclers can recover cobalt and nickel. Lithium is the hard one — it is light, reactive, and easy to lose in the process. The company says that in 2022 it became the only firm in India extracting lithium from battery scrap. If that lead holds, it is the differentiator. If competitors close it, this becomes a commodity processing business.

03

Paid twice

There are two revenue engines, and they work in opposite directions on the same tonne of material.

ENGINE ONE Take the waste Companies must dispose of e-waste and batteries legally. Rules make this compulsory, not optional. A COMPLIANCE SERVICE ENGINE TWO Sell the metal Recovered lithium, cobalt, nickel and gold sold to manufacturers at prevailing commodity prices. A COMMODITY BUSINESS
Revenue split between the two engines is not disclosed in the sources reviewed.

Engine one is steady. Regulation creates the demand and it doesn't care what metal prices are doing. Engine two is not steady at all — it rises and falls with global cobalt, nickel and lithium prices, over which the company has no control.

Named customers include Bajaj Auto, Ather Energy, Hero MotoCorp and Tata Motors — which tells you the battery stream is tied to India's EV industry.

04

The plant and the pipeline

ANNUAL PROCESSING CAPACITY, TONNES Before Mar 2025 11,700 Today 24,000 ₹300 Cr expansion ~50,000 Plasma furnace target 75,000 Solid bars are built. Dashed bars are announced plans, not installed capacity.
Pre-2025 figure combines 7,500 MT e-waste and 4,200 MT battery capacity. Expansion figures per company announcements and trade press.

The plant is at Palghar, near Mumbai. In March 2025 e-waste capacity went from 7,500 to 24,000 tonnes a year and battery capacity from 4,200 to 10,000.

In April 2026 the company was declared eligible under the Ministry of Mines' incentive scheme for critical mineral recycling, part of the National Critical Minerals Mission, against a pledged investment of roughly ₹300 crore that would take capacity to about 50,000 tonnes.

The other things in motion

  • IIT Bombay tie-up (May 2026) aimed at cutting battery recycling costs by around 40%.
  • Rare earths research centre opened in Maharashtra in January 2026.
  • Reloop, a direct-to-consumer recycling platform, launched June 2025.
  • Board rebuilt through late 2025 with three independent directors added — usually a sign a company is preparing for outside scrutiny.
  • ₹240 crore raise announced early 2026, with an IPO reportedly under consideration.
PART TWO · THE NUMBERS
05

FY26, reconstructed

There is no complete audited FY26. What exists is ten months of provisional accounts to 31 January 2026, and a two-month management projection for February and March. Joined together:

₹ Crore10 months (provisional)2 months (projected)FY26 total
Revenue from operations298.94183.11482.05
EBITDA33.6342.3976.02
Depreciation3.260.473.73
Finance costs4.203.868.06
Profit before tax26.1738.0764.24
Tax6.438.5514.98
Profit after tax19.7429.5249.26
THE LAST TWO MONTHS DON'T LOOK LIKE THE FIRST TEN

Run the two periods as monthly averages and they describe different companies:

Revenue per month   10m ₹29.9 Cr  →  2m ₹91.6 Cr   3.1×
Profit per month    10m ₹2.0 Cr   →  2m ₹14.8 Cr   7.5×
EBITDA margin      10m 11.2%    →  2m 23.2%

Roughly 60% of the FY26 profit sits in two months that had not happened when the numbers were prepared. There may be a good operational reason — a new line commissioned, a large shipment contracted. But it is a projection, not a result, and the audited FY26 accounts are what will settle it.

06

Where the rupee goes

This is the single most important thing to understand about the business, and it is visible in one line of the accounts.

EVERY ₹100 OF REVENUE · 10 MONTHS TO 31 JAN 2026 Buying the waste COST OF MATERIALS CONSUMED ₹85.3 ₹3.6 running the plant ₹11.2 operating profit before depreciation, interest and tax Eighty-five paise of every rupee goes straight back out to buy the next lot of scrap.
Computed from provisional consolidated figures for the ten months to 31 January 2026.

Compare this with a rental or software business, where the cost of delivering the next unit is small. Here it is almost everything. Recyclekaro is a spread business: it buys scrap at one price, extracts metal, and sells at another. The gap between the two is the entire margin.

WHAT THIS MEANS IN PRACTICE

Scale helps, but only so much. Doubling volume doubles the material bill too. The operating leverage sits in the ₹3.6 of running costs, which is already small.

Prices matter more than volumes. If cobalt falls 20% while scrap prices lag, the spread compresses fast. An 11% margin does not have much room in it.

Buying well is the skill. In a business like this, the competitive edge is as much in sourcing scrap cheaply and reliably as in the chemistry.

07

Cash trapped in the yard

The balance sheet at 31 January 2026 shows where the money actually sits.

HOW LONG CASH IS TIED UP Stock sitting in inventory 155 days · ₹130 Cr Waiting to be paid 93 days · ₹91 Cr Less: time to pay suppliers 47 days · ₹39 Cr Cash conversion cycle 202 days Roughly seven months between paying for scrap and collecting cash for the metal.
Days computed from the provisional balance sheet at 31 January 2026 against annualised ten-month revenue and materials cost.

Inventory of ₹130 crore and receivables of ₹91 crore together account for ₹221 crore of a ₹282 crore balance sheet. Property, plant and equipment is only ₹35 crore. This is not a capital-asset business — it is a working-capital business.

Which explains something otherwise puzzling in the valuation, and it is worth stating plainly before the next section.

GROWTH HERE CONSUMES CASH FASTER THAN IT MAKES IT

Across the projection period the plan needs ₹518 crore of capital expenditure and ₹751 crore of additional working capital — about ₹1,269 crore in total.

The cumulative profit over the same period is ₹488 crore. The gap of roughly ₹780 crore has to come from borrowing or from issuing new shares. That is precisely why the company announced a ₹240 crore raise and is reported to be weighing an IPO.

PART THREE · THE VALUATION
08

₹9.29 lakh a share

An IBBI-registered valuer assessed fair value at ₹9,28,593 per share as at 31 January 2026, on shares with a face value of ₹10. The high number is simply because there are very few shares — 14,881 in issue.

BUILDING UP TO THE NUMBER · ₹ CRORE Cash flows, FY26–FY29 −467 Terminal value — everything beyond FY29 +2,490 Net present value 2,023 Add cash and surplus assets, less debt 1,988 Less 20% illiquidity discount 1,590
Discounted cash flow workings as set out in the valuation report. Equity value of ₹1,590.40 crore divided by 17,127 fully diluted shares gives ₹9,28,593.
What that price impliesMultiple
P/E on reconstructed FY26 profit32.3×
P/E on FY27 projected profit19.8×
Price to book value9.0×
Enterprise value to FY26 EBITDA21.5×

Note the share count. There are 14,881 shares in issue but 17,127 on a fully diluted basis, because of an ESOP pool of 2,246 shares. That pool is 15% of the issued capital — large enough to matter. Valued on issued shares alone the figure would be around ₹10.7 lakh; the ESOP dilution accounts for the difference.

Ownership sits at 62.31% with the promoter group and 37.69% with others.

09

What the DCF assumes

Three assumptions carry almost all the weight. Anyone relying on this number should look at these rather than the number itself.

One — revenue grows nearly five-fold in three years

₹ Crore · projectedFY26FY27FY28FY29
Revenue4828741,4232,254
Growth+81%+63%+58%
EBITDA76147240380
Profit after tax4980134245

Three consecutive years of growth between 58% and 81%, with margins holding at around 17%. The capacity expansion supports the direction; the pace is management's estimate.

Two — all of the value is in the terminal year

Free cash flow is negative in every single year of the forecast: −₹53 crore, −₹370 crore, −₹173 crore, −₹25 crore. The explicit forecast period contributes minus ₹467 crore to the valuation.

The entire ₹1,590 crore rests on what the business is assumed to be worth after FY29 — calculated by applying an exit multiple of 17.06 times FY29 EBITDA. That multiple came from averaging Gravita India, Eco Recycling and Namo eWaste at 24.37 times, then cutting 30% for company-specific risk.

Three — a very high discount rate

The valuer used a WACC of 36.15%, built on a cost of equity of 38.40%: a 6.70% risk-free rate, a 19.11% equity risk premium, a beta of 1.06, and an added 11% company-specific risk premium. That last item is a judgement call, and the report lists what drives it — feedstock availability, regulatory compliance, evolving battery chemistry, metal price volatility, customer concentration, competition from the informal sector, and key-person dependence.

A 36% discount rate is unusually high and pulls the valuation down hard. It is the counterweight to the aggressive growth forecast. Change either one and the answer moves a long way.

TWO SMALL INCONSISTENCIES IN THE REPORT

The narrative states the cost of equity as 35.71%, but the table shows 38.40% — 35.71% is the weighted contribution to WACC, not the cost of equity itself.

The WACC table labels the market return as based on Sensex history, while the text explains it was derived from the CAGR of the NSE Nifty Microcap 250. Those are different indices. Neither error changes the arithmetic, but both are worth noting if the report is being relied upon.

10

What could go wrong

  • Metal prices are outside the company's control. With an 11% operating margin on an 85% material cost, a sharp fall in cobalt, nickel or lithium prices compresses the spread quickly.
  • Feedstock is the real constraint. Capacity is worthless without scrap to feed it. India's informal sector collects a large share of e-waste and operates with far lower compliance costs, which makes it a persistent competitor for the same material.
  • The FY26 profit is 60% projection. Two unaudited months carry most of the year's earnings and imply a run rate several times the preceding ten.
  • Growth needs roughly ₹780 crore of external funding beyond what the business generates. Terms and dilution on that money are not yet known, and the ESOP pool already accounts for 15% of issued capital.
  • The valuation is a terminal-value calculation. Every forecast year produces negative cash. The number depends on a multiple applied to a profit figure four years out.
  • Serious competition. Attero and Lohum are both well-funded and pursuing the same critical-minerals opportunity.
  • Illiquidity. With 14,881 shares in issue and no exchange, exit depends on finding a private buyer. The valuer applied a 20% discount for exactly this reason.
THE SHORT VERSION

A genuine industrial capability in something India needs — recovering critical minerals it would otherwise import — with real capacity, named customers and government backing. The lithium extraction claim, if it holds, is a real edge.

But it is a thin-margin spread business dressed in a technology story, it consumes cash to grow, most of FY26's profit hasn't been audited yet, and the valuation rests almost entirely on what the company is assumed to be worth after FY29.

None of that makes it a bad investment. It does mean the things to check are the audited FY26 accounts, the terms of the next funding round, and the realised metal price spread — not the fair value figure on its own.

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Important. This note is an explainer prepared for general information. It is not investment advice, not a research report under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, and not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. No offer or solicitation is made or intended.

Business and capacity information is drawn from the company's website, press announcements and trade press. Financial figures for the ten months to 31 January 2026 are provisional, consolidated and unaudited; figures for February 2026 onwards are management projections. The fair value figure, discount rate and terminal value assumptions discussed here are those set out in a valuation report prepared by an IBBI-registered valuer for regulatory compliance purposes under the Companies Act, 2013. That report was prepared for a specific regulatory purpose, states that the underlying financial information was neither audited nor independently verified, and expressly notes that a fair value opinion is not investment advice and will not necessarily be the price at which any actual transaction takes place.

Unlisted shares carry material risks including illiquidity, limited disclosure, wide bid-ask spreads, valuation uncertainty and the possibility of total loss. There is no assurance of any listing. Anyone considering a transaction should read the audited annual accounts, verify the current share count and debt position, and take independent professional advice.